MeteonBot Field Notes
Release notes, research and upcoming plans, straight from the engine team.
Two Fresh Ways to Play the Weather: Spin and Bet Have Launched
NEW LAUNCH · STORM GAMES Two Fresh Ways to Play the Weather: Spin and Bet Have Launched June 16, 2026 Today's Field Note is a big one. Until now, MeteonBot has aimed all of its instruments at a single job — reading the atmosphere better than the market does and trading that edge …
Read field noteThe Hong Kong Lock: Why We Now Read the City Instead of Forecasting It
ENGINE UPGRADE · HONG KONG The Hong Kong Lock: Why We Now Read the City Instead of Forecasting It June 3, 2026 Every Hong Kong temperature market on Polymarket resolves on one number — the official daily maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO). For that city, weather …
Read field noteMeteonBot in Numbers: 9,592 Traders, $2.87M of Member Profit, and the True Cost of Running It
These Field Notes follow a single rule: publish the readings, not just the narrative. When the weather shifts we share the gauge, not a feeling — and we hold the platform to the same standard. As of May 23, 2026, MeteonBot has 9,592 registered traders across 94 countries, who tog…
Read field noteWhy 213 Accounts Were Banned for Engine Abuse — What Happened and Our Reasons
ENGINE ABUSE · TRANSPARENCY REPORT Why 213 Accounts Were Banned for Engine Abuse — What Happened and Our Reasons May 22, 2026 During a 30-day audit window that closed on May 22, 2026, MeteonBot found and removed 213 user accounts for ongoing abuse of our AI Engine. About 85% of t…
Read field noteInside Magic15 — How the Set-and-Forget Workflow Works
SET-AND-FORGET Inside Magic15 — How the Set-and-Forget Workflow Works May 18, 2026 We've already explained how MeteonBot's two modes compare. This post is more focused and more hands-on: it covers what it's like to actually live with the set-and-forget mode. Magic15 is where we s…
Read field notePosition Memory: MeteonBot Keeps Track of Its Holdings Through Restarts
RELIABILITY · SHIPPED · PROTECTS YOUR BANKROLL Position Memory: MeteonBot Keeps Track of Its Holdings Through Restarts May 18, 2026 This Field Note covers one of the biggest reliability fixes MeteonBot has ever shipped. It isn't a shiny new feature — it's a fix that protects your…
Read field noteWatch Out for Copycats — fake sites are posing as MeteonBot
SECURITY ALERT · IMPORTANT · READ THIS Watch Out for Copycats — fake sites are posing as MeteonBot April 28, 2026 Fake MeteonBot sites exist, and they are dangerous. They clone our design, borrow our branding, and rig their "connect wallet" screen to steal your keys. We have alre…
Read field noteBringing WeatherNext 2 Into the Engine
IN DEVELOPMENT · ALPHA Bringing WeatherNext 2 Into the Engine April 21, 2026 Work has begun on what is easily the largest forecast-accuracy upgrade we have ever taken on: integrating Google DeepMind's WeatherNext 2 into the MeteonBot probability core. If it lands cleanly, it lift…
Read field noteEngine v2 Is Out — Quicker Streams, Broader Books, Sharper AI
MAJOR RELEASE Engine v2 Is Out — Quicker Streams, Broader Books, Sharper AI April 14, 2026 Engine v2 has launched. This isn't a UI touch-up or a minor feature change — it's a rebuild from the ground up. Fresh infrastructure, a new trading core, a new dashboard and a clearly diffe…
Read field noteWhy MeteonBot May Close Its Doors — A Straight Update
IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT Why MeteonBot May Close Its Doors — A Straight Update March 29, 2026 We owe the community an honest talk about MeteonBot's next steps. Growth over the past several months has gone far beyond anything we expected — and it has pushed us into some hard choices…
Read field noteGemini, TensorFlow & a Weather Station of Our Own — What's Next
MAJOR ANNOUNCEMENT Gemini, TensorFlow & a Weather Station of Our Own — What's Next March 26, 2026 We're building something that, to our knowledge, no prediction-market trader has tried yet: controlling the entire data pipeline from start to finish. Most bots in this space go no f…
Read field noteThe Self-Improving Loop — Each Closed Trade Makes the Engine Smarter
NEW FEATURE The Self-Improving Loop — Each Closed Trade Makes the Engine Smarter March 26, 2026 Most trading bots never change. Whatever logic they run today is exactly what they ran on the first day. Make a bad trade once, and they'll cheerfully repeat it tomorrow. We decided th…
Read field noteWhat We're Building Right Now
DEVELOPMENT ROADMAP What We're Building Right Now March 26, 2026 The team works around the clock to take MeteonBot further than any other prediction-market trading stack running in production. It isn't a side project. It's a full-time operation that eats a real share of engineeri…
Read field noteHow a Browser Heartbeat Saves Claude Credits
ENGINEERING UPDATE How a Browser Heartbeat Saves Claude Credits March 26, 2026 Let's be upfront: the AI side of this engine costs a lot to run. Every five minutes Claude reviews fifteen books — fifteen individual API calls, each with a fully briefed meteorological prompt containi…
Read field noteTwo Run Modes: Continuous and Magic15
STRATEGY UPDATE ★ MAGIC15 RECOMMENDED Two Run Modes: Continuous and Magic15 March 2026 · Updated May 18, 2026 to match the live engine MeteonBot is kept simple on purpose. It has exactly two run modes, both running on the same brain — the same four-model forecast, the same edge m…
Read field noteHow the Engine Spots an Edge
GUIDE How the Engine Spots an Edge A six-stage walkthrough of the full pipeline 01 Locate weather books The discovery layer calls Polymarket's Gamma API with the weather tag filter, turning up anywhere from 200 to 1,200 active books at a given time. Every book holds several tempe…
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