Two Run Modes: Continuous and Magic15
MeteonBot is kept simple on purpose. It has exactly two run modes, both running on the same brain — the same four-model forecast, the same edge maths, the same Claude check on every fill. The difference is not how trades are selected but how long the bot keeps running and whether it ever sells. Choose whichever fits how involved you want to be.
The shared brain (both modes)
Whichever mode you choose, every position has to clear the same bar: a blended GFS / ECMWF / UKMO / NWS forecast, a Normal-CDF probability compared against the market price for a genuine edge, a senior-meteorologist Claude review that can veto, a disciplined 22¢–84¢ entry band, one position per city per date, and Kelly-capped sizing. The selection is identical — the modes only differ in run behaviour.
Which one should you use?
- Want it to keep working and manage exits for you? Continuous — it trades and actively takes profits / cuts losses until you stop it.
- Want a fixed, known amount of risk and no churn? Magic15 — exposure is capped at 15 Kelly-sized positions, the bot turns itself off, and outcomes are decided by the markets settling rather than by an exit engine reacting to price noise.
- New here? Magic15 is the gentler introduction: bounded risk, no over-trading, nothing to monitor.
Kelly-capped sizing (applies to both)
Position size scales with confidence and edge: a VERY_HIGH read with a 15%+ edge tops out at the maximum allocation, weaker reads scale down. Every fill is capped at 5% of bankroll and no single trade exceeds 15% of the remaining balance. This bounds total exposure up front and closed off the catastrophic-loss profile of the old flat-sizing approach — and in Magic15 it means your worst case is known the moment the basket is placed.